2022-02-03 10:16:19
ARK Invest: Bitcoin represents a monetary revolution
Innovation investment firm Kathy Wood ARK Invest published a report last week titled "Big Ideas 2022". The company expressed confidence that there are five "innovative platforms" that will bring significant profits to the stock market in the long term: artificial intelligence, robotics, battery technology, gene sequencing and blockchain.
As part of the blockchain section, ARK analyst Yassin Elmandraj looked at bitcoin, which he called the “money revolution.” In his opinion, despite the fact that in 2021 it reached a capitalization of $ 1 trillion, “Bitcoin’s market share still represents a small part of global assets. It is likely to increase as nation-states accept it as legal tender. This will raise the value of each [bitcoin] to $1 million.”
In addition, the document notes that in 2021, the total volume of bitcoin transfers increased by 473% in dollar terms, from $2.3 trillion to $13.1 trillion (or from 212 million to 275.4 million BTC). The average daily volume of transfers increased by 460% in dollar terms, from $6.4 billion in 2020 to $35.9 billion in 2021.
Elmandraj described 2021 as a year of important technological breakthroughs and active institutional adoption. It points to a significant increase in the number of channels (+119%) and BTC capacity (+210%) on the Lightning network and the successful activation of Taproot, the largest network base layer protocol update since SegWit in 2017. “Exchange-traded products (ETPs), countries and corporations held 8% of the Bitcoin supply as of November 2021.”
With ongoing BTC purchases by public companies like Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy and the launch of financial products from big corporations like Fidelity with $4.2 trillion in assets under management, institutional adoption is likely to continue through 2022.
In addition to expanding corporate adoption, El Salvador became the first nation-state to recognize bitcoin as legal tender in September 2021. As of December 31, 2021, El Salvador has purchased 1,391 bitcoins and 3.8 million people have started using El Salvador’s Chivo bitcoin wallet, according to an ARK report. This means 84% coverage of citizens, 1.9 million of whom have traditional bank accounts.
Evaluating the common arguments against bitcoin, ARK concluded that “concerns about the lack of stability of bitcoin are associated with poor information”. It is argued that “Bitcoin has the potential to change the history of money by providing financial freedom and empowerment in a fair, global and distributed manner.”
The report notes that bitcoin mining encourages efficient forms of energy production, such as capturing natural gas that would otherwise be flared. In addition, BTC mining can increase the share of renewable energy in the existing energy system. The bitcoin mining industry has grown into a multi-billion dollar industry and breeding ground for innovation.
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